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In
the old days, avid investors went to brokerage houses
and sat in boardrooms. They watched the ticker tape and
kibitzed with friends. Today, many investors can do the
same thing, whether it be at home, at the mall or even
at an airport lounge.
The ticker tape is broadcast on eSignal, television and
the Internet. To most, watching the ticker tape consists
of just eyeing the price of a favorite stock scrolling
by on the screen. Is the price up or down? That's about
all most people see.
But, there is a lot more.
An investor can use the ticker tape as a tool to improve
his/her stock selection and trading. In many cases, one
doesn't need to sit in front of a racing ticker tape all
day and get bleary eyed. Computer programs can sort out
the key data. Also, one can set up eSignal in certain
ways to watch selected stocks, perhaps of firms with strong
earnings.
How can the ticker tape be used?
Well, the first thing one must remember is that the ticker
tape records trading transactions as they are happening.
The sequence of the trades on an individual stock, the
price and the volume on each tick are the bulk of the
information. In short, it is the "time and sale"
data for a stock.
Something called a "broad tape" (put out by
Dow Jones) carries news. We are not interested in that.
We only want to see the flow of prices on stocks as it
is taking place. The key data you want to look for is
large block transactions going off at significantly higher
prices than the prior trade or a prior big block. In short,
big blocks on upticks. A pattern of that kind of buying
during the day or over a short period of time can tip
you off that there is strong demand for the stock. It
is a bullish omen.
Conversely, big blocks going off at lower prices than
the prior trade could well be very important distribution.
One can quickly develop a "feel" for a stock
by knowing what a significant big block is. An important
block for IBM may be 100,000 shares; for a thinly-traded
stock, it may be 10,000 shares.
By watching the tape action of a stock, or by going back
and looking at the "time and sale," one can
get a sense of how a stock is "acting." That's
very important at special times in a technical situation,
such as a breakout from a base or after a selloff. It
can tell you if the breakout is working well or if bargain
hunters are stepping up after a quality stock falls and
a bottom is about to form.
Generally speaking, watching the tape action of a stock
is not that difficult once you get the data and take some
time to read it. Truly, the tape does talk. That information
correlates with the charting pattern of a stock, which,
in turn, can be linked to the profitability and value
of a company's business.
Take the case of Invision Technologies (INVN), a maker
of explosion detection systems. The stock moved out of
a basing pattern on October 5, 2001 and closed at $11.80.
Volume swelled to 3 million shares, no doubt due to prospects
of getting big contracts for the war on terror. A study
of Invision's tape that day showed several large blocks
going off at sequentially higher prices indicating aggressive
buying. At 11:32 a.m. Eastern Time, a block of 25,000
shares traded at $12.03, up from the prior large block
(10,000 shares) at $11. That was followed by another block
of 20,000 shares at $12.17, and, then, shortly afterwards,
a block of 25,000 shares crossed at $12.20. Invision went
on to hit $47 a gain of 292 percent by mid-December.
The stock was one of the big winners of the year. Its
key move was confirmed by the powerful tape action on
October 5.
More recently, well known broker Charles Schwab Corp.
(SCH) emerged from a base on January 3, 2002 with a move
to $16.85, cutting through the top of its base at $16.
The tape was extremely bullish. A block of 100,000 shares
crossed at $16.10 at 10:18 a.m. Eastern Time. That was
up 11 cents from the prior big block that went off at
$15.99. Five minutes later a block of 135,200 shares crossed
at $16.15, up five cents from the prior block.

The next day, Schwab gapped higher, hitting $19 on the
heaviest volume in more than six months. It remains to
be seen how Schwab will do, but the tape and technicals
are working. Also, other brokerage issues, such as E-Trade
Group, Inc. (ET), are doing well too. Schwab is expected
to show a 52 percent increase in net this year to 44 cents
a share from the depressed 29 cents last year.
Mr.
Fasciocco’s articles appear on www.tickertapedigest.com.
He
is an independent contributing writer for several national
publications. He is also president of Corona Investment
Management. To
get a free trial subscription to the Ticker Tape
Digest Pro Report, which comes out daily on the web
with midday updates, send an email message to freetrial@tickertapedigest.com.
Mr. Fasciocco can be reached by email at leo@tickertapedigest.com.
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