|
eMESA
USER'S GUIDE
eMESA is an opening range breakout
system. It dynamically computes the offset from tomorrow’s
opening price at which a buy (or sell) stop should
be placed. The offset is computed using a variety
of factors, such as the current market volatility,
the predicted direction of the swing, the position
within the cycle, etc. These factors are automatically
calculated and need no input from you. While eMESA
is specifically intended for trading the S&P e-mini
futures contract, it is a generic kind of system and
useful for trading a variety of market instruments.
It can trade a wide range of indices, such as the
DOW and NASDAQ; ETFs such as the SPY, DIA and QQQ
and even individual stocks.
eMESA uses data from daily bars. End-of-day data
is, therefore, required. Intraday data, such as 5-minute
bars or 30-minute bars, is not appropriate for use
with eMESA. The day session data is obtained by appending
"=2" to the symbol name. For example, the
correct symbol for the June 2003 e-mini contract is
ES M3=2.
To apply the eMESA trading system to your bar chart,
start by right mouse clicking on the chart. In the
subsequent dropdown menus, select ADD-ON STUDIES…..MESA
SOFTWARE…..MESA TRADING SYSTEM. The trading
signal appears at the lower righthand corner of your
bar chart. It will read something like “Buy
@ Tomorrow’s Open + 1.67534”.
Each day, after the close for the day, you will find
the correct signal directly on your bar chart near
the lower righthand corner. It will be something like
“Buy @ tomorrow’s open + 3.15”.
This is your signal to buy long. Tomorrow, when you
get the opening price, say 976.65, you add the signal
offset to get a trade price of 976.65. You then place
your stop order to buy at 976.65. Actually, you (or
your broker) will need to round to the nearest tick
level to place the stop order. The opening price may
change within the first five minutes or so. The opening
is initially the opening tick price. Later, the official
opening price is posted as the average of the opening
range. It is the official opening price of the day
that you should use as the basis of your stop order.
eMESA is always in the market, both long and short.
If you are already in a long position, you should
ignore the buy signals and hold your position, waiting
for the next sell signal. When reversing your position
from long to short, you will need to place a sell
stop order for two contracts to effect the reversal.
One contract closes the existing long position and
the second contract establishes the new short position.
Similarly, you will need to place a buy stop order
for two contracts to effect a reversal from a short
position to a long position. eMESA will reverse its
position about twice a week on the average.
eMESA does not use a money management stop because
it is a reversing system. If the market behaves adversely
to your current position, eMESA will quickly reverse
the position for you at the next open. You are protected
from severe adverse moves intraday because of the
automatic stop trading rules for the entire market
when the market moves 5%, 10% or even 15% from the
previous closing price.
eMESA can be back tested in eSignal to see how it
has performed historically. eMESA contains EFS code
for back testing. Perpetual Futures Contracts are
best used for back testing because they show the longest
span of continuous trading. The correct symbol for
the e-mini perpetual contract is ES #F=2. You should
change the number of shares to 50 (because the futures
value is $50 per point) to get the correct backtest
results in dollars.
To invoke the back test feature, right mouse click
on your bar chart. In the ensuing dropdown menus,
select FORMULAS…..back testing…..eMESA1.EFS.
The new subgraph will have alternate bars of green
and red. The green background indicates the period
when eMESA was holding a long position and the red
background indicates the period when eMESA was holding
a short position. Tomorrow’s trading signal
will also appear in the back testing subgraph. In
this case, back testing knows your current position
and, so, signals for trades in the same direction
as the current position is suppressed.
Back testing also gives you a powerful set of tools
to assess the performance of eMESA. To reach these
tools, right mouse click on the chart. In the dropdown
menus, click on TOOLS…..BACK TESTING and then
click on the TEST button in the upper righthand corner
of the back testing window. Once you do this, you
then have access to five different kinds of analyses.
These are: 1) Strategy Analysis, 2) Trades, 3) Trade
Analysis, 4) Time Analysis and 5) Periodical Analysis.
You also have access to three different kinds of
graphics studies. These are: 1) Equity Graphs, 2)
Trade Graphs and 3) RunUp/Drawdown graphs.
The back test analyses and tests allow you to independently
evaluate the performance of eMESA on the futures contract,
EFS or stock of your choice.
In summary, eMESA is designed to be an automatic
trading system that is very easy to use. You simply
note the offset trading signal given at the end of
the trading day. When you get the opening price tomorrow,
you add (or subtract) the offset from the opening
price and use that value as your trading position
reversal stop order.
|